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THE FRESHWATER FRONTIER: WHY MICHIGAN IS THE MOST UNDERRATED DEVELOPMENT MARKET IN AMERICA

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By Daniel Kaufman | May 2026 People ask me constantly where I see the next wave of real estate opportunity. They expect me to say Texas. Maybe Florida again. Sometimes they’re hoping I’ll say something contrarian like Cleveland or Gary, Indiana, so they can nod and feel sophisticated. I’m going to say Michigan. Not the Michigan of the rust belt narrative. Not “Detroit comeback story #47.” I’m talking about three specific markets that most coastal developers haven’t touched — and that’s exactly the point. The Upper Peninsula. Traverse City. Grand Rapids. Three completely different stories with one connecting thread: fresh water. You want to talk about the most undervalued long-term infrastructure asset in the world? It’s not data centers. It’s not lithium. It’s clean, abundant, accessible freshwater. And Michigan sits on top of more of it than almost anywhere on earth. Let me break this down market by market. THE UPPER PENINSULA: AMERICA’S LAST FRONTIER DISCOUNT Here’s a number that sho...

Prosperity Isn’t Where the Media Says It Is (And It’s Not Where They Say It Isn’t)

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​ By Daniel Kaufman  If you listen to the national media long enough, you would think America’s major legacy cities are collapsing, everyone is fleeing the coasts, and the only smart real estate investment is somewhere in the Sunbelt. As a real estate developer and investor who actually studies long-term fundamentals instead of headlines, I can tell you the reality is far more nuanced — and far more interesting. A new framework called the Geography of Prosperity Index, created by Bradley Schurman and Jaymes Cloninger, attempts to measure something most rankings miss: long-term civic viability, not just short-term economics. That distinction matters. Too much real estate analysis today is driven by lagging indicators like last year’s population migration numbers, temporary interest rate impacts, or political narratives. Serious investors look at durability — not noise. And the results of this study challenge a lot of the simplistic narratives dominating real estate c...