Posts

The "Easy Money" Trap: Lessons from the Cape Coral Flip Crisis

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In the world of real estate development, there’s a thin line between a calculated risk and a blind gamble. Recent reports out of Cape Coral, Florida, show us exactly what happens when that line is crossed by "rookie" investors fueled by high-leverage private credit. The story in Cape Coral is a sobering one for those of us in the industry. What started as a pandemic-era gold rush has turned into a landscape of abandoned job sites, rotting work permits, and "for sale" signs face-down in the weeds. The Rise of the "Institutional" Hard-Money Loan Historically, "hard money" was the domain of local lenders who knew every street in their zip code. They were conservative, requiring 40% down and charging double-digit interest. They were a barrier to entry for the inexperienced, which—ironically—protected the market from overheating. But over the last decade, we’ve seen the rise of standardized private credit. Large investment firms began bundling short-t...

Unveiling a Vision: A New Era for a Storied Mountain

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We're thrilled to share a groundbreaking master plan that will transform a beloved but underutilized mountain into a premier, world-class resort destination. This comprehensive vision builds upon the rich history and natural beauty of the area, creating an unparalleled experience for all who visit. From Rustic Charm to Refined Alpine Luxury Our approach is rooted in a deep respect for the mountain's heritage, carefully integrating its existing character with modern amenities and expanded terrain. The goal is to blend an authentic alpine feel with the sophistication and convenience demanded by today's discerning travelers. The Heart of the Resort: A Pedestrian-First Village At the core of this transformation is a thoughtfully designed base village, conceived as a vibrant, pedestrian-only hub. Imagine stepping off the slopes directly into a bustling plaza, where a grand lodge welcomes you with crackling fireplaces and stunning mountain views. This central gathering place ...

Beyond the Peaks: Strategic Real Estate Investment in North America’s Ski Markets

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​ The allure of mountain living attracts significant capital every season, yet a persistent gap remains between developer promises and market reality. For the discerning investor, winning in the ski real estate market isn’t just about buying a view; it’s about understanding the scarcity of convenience. When a property is slope-side, you aren't just buying square footage—you are buying time. You trade commutes and parking hassles for easier mid-day breaks and spur-of-the-moment sessions on the snow. This inherent utility is why ski-in/ski-out condos and resort residences tend to hold their value even when broader markets cool. As we look toward 2026, the strategy for "undiscovered" value focuses on three pillars: legitimate terrain, expanding base-area infrastructure, and a diverse inventory mix. The Western Frontier: Utah, Idaho, and Beyond The American West remains the heavyweight champion of ski investment, driven by massive vertical and public land constraints that lim...

The Tide Has Turned: Florida Loses Residents for the First Time (And Where the Smart Money is Moving)

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​ For decades, the real estate mantra was simple: Follow the sun. Florida and Texas were the unstoppable giants of population growth, fueled by tax incentives, weather, and a pandemic-era remote work boom. But the data just shifted violently. According to new U.S. Census Bureau figures, the "Pandemic Boom" has officially petered out. For the first time in recorded census history, Florida had more domestic residents leave the state than arrive. As an investor or developer, you need to know where that population is shifting to, why the Sunshine State is losing its luster, and how to adjust your portfolio for the coming demographic realignment. The New Growth Leaders: Look to the Carolinas While Florida and Texas cool down, the Mid-Atlantic is heating up. The United States has new hotspots for growth, and the data is undeniable: North Carolina: Claimed the title for total volume, attracting 84,000 new residents from other states—more than any other state in the nation. South Car...

A Tale of Two Cities: Why San Diego is Winning the Housing War (And Why LA is Losing)

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​ If you’ve been following the capital markets or trying to pencil a deal in Southern California lately, you already know the vibe shift is real. But the latest numbers paint a picture even starker than most of us realized. San Diego is currently building apartments at nearly twice the rate of Los Angeles. While construction in L.A. has plummeted 33% over the last three years—hitting an 11-year low—San Diego is up 10%. As someone who has navigated the entitlement trenches in both markets, I can tell you this isn't an accident. It’s a policy choice. We are witnessing a real-time case study in what happens when a city actually clears the path for builders versus what happens when a city lets politics strangle supply. The "San Diego Model": Certainty Over Politics For a developer, the most valuable commodity isn’t land or cheap debt—it’s certainty. San Diego gets this. They have a clear, enforced General Plan. They update their Community Plans and, crucially, if your project...

The "Miami Boom" is a Mirage: Why the Million-Dollar Listing Narrative is Dangerous for Buyers

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​ If you’ve been reading the real estate headlines lately, you’ve likely seen the viral claim: "Miami has officially dethroned New York City as the capital of luxury real estate." The headline is based on a flashy statistic from a recent Realtor.com report, which notes that for the first time, Miami has more active listings priced over $1 million (~10,600) than New York City (~10,200). On the surface, this sounds like a victory lap for Florida. It paints a picture of unstoppable wealth migration and a market so hot that it has eclipsed the financial capital of the world. But if you dig into the actual data, this narrative falls apart. In fact, this isn't a sign of a booming market—it is a classic signal of a market in distress. Here is the truth that the brokers aren't telling you. 1. High Inventory is Not "Dominance"—It’s Indigestion The report frames the high number of million-dollar listings as a badge of honor. In reality, inventory count is just ...