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Showing posts with the label Los Angeles

The California "Exodus" Myth: Why In-N-Out Just Proved the Doubters Wrong

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​ If you’ve spent five minutes on social media or watching the national news lately, you’ve heard the same tired drumbeat: “Everyone is leaving California.” Headlines have been desperate to paint a picture of a hollowed-out Golden State, claiming that iconic brands are packing their bags for Tennessee, Texas, and Florida. But as I always say in real estate development: Look at the leases, not the headlines. Last year, the rumor mill went into overdrive when news broke that In-N-Out Burger was opening a massive office in Franklin, Tennessee. The narrative was instant: “In-N-Out is moving its headquarters to Tennessee!” It was a perfect "gotcha" story for those rooting against California. Except, it wasn't true. The Reality: A Return to Roots Last week, the real story finally came out, and it’s a massive win for the Los Angeles office market. In-N-Out didn't just stay in California—they doubled down on it. The burger giant just signed one of the largest office deals in ...

A Tale of Two Cities: Why San Diego is Winning the Housing War (And Why LA is Losing)

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​ If you’ve been following the capital markets or trying to pencil a deal in Southern California lately, you already know the vibe shift is real. But the latest numbers paint a picture even starker than most of us realized. San Diego is currently building apartments at nearly twice the rate of Los Angeles. While construction in L.A. has plummeted 33% over the last three years—hitting an 11-year low—San Diego is up 10%. As someone who has navigated the entitlement trenches in both markets, I can tell you this isn't an accident. It’s a policy choice. We are witnessing a real-time case study in what happens when a city actually clears the path for builders versus what happens when a city lets politics strangle supply. The "San Diego Model": Certainty Over Politics For a developer, the most valuable commodity isn’t land or cheap debt—it’s certainty. San Diego gets this. They have a clear, enforced General Plan. They update their Community Plans and, crucially, if your project...