Navigating Inflation, Tariffs, and Policy: What Real Estate Developers and Investors Need to Know
The latest inflation data underscores a mixed economic landscape, where challenges are heightened by policy uncertainty. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, rose by 2.8% year-over-year in October and 0.3% month-over-month. While part of this increase reflects the influence of higher stock prices, inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target, raising questions about the central bank’s next moves. Complicating the outlook further is Donald Trump’s economic agenda as he prepares for his return to the political stage. Experts warn that his proposed policies—ranging from tariffs on Canada and Mexico to promises of lower fuel costs—could reignite inflation and reverse post-pandemic economic recovery efforts. For developers, investors, and industry leaders, these dynamics signal potential risks and opportunities to prepare for. Inflation’s Impact on Real Estate While inflation remains a c...